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1.6.5 Climate and Air Quality
VWC-DEIS - Page 4-56 Chapter 4. Environmental Consequences Moderate Density Development Concept
“{...}
{...}Conversely, while climate change has been projected to have incremental impacts on various aspects of human activities at some unknown point in the future, there are no methodologies available at this point to predict any impacts on the project being analyzed here.”
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On Climate Change in the Southwestern U.S.
"Climate change is already affecting fish, wildlife, plants and their habitats around the globe..."
The Service's Southwest Region has been working with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
http://www.fws.gov/southwest/Climatechange/index.html
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Global Change Reports and Assessments
"According to the Analysis of Global Change Assessments by the National Research Council:
“Water supplies will become increasingly scarce, calling for trade-offs among competing uses, and potentially leading to conflict.”"
http://www.globalchange.gov/publications/reports/scientific-assessments/us-impacts/regional-climate-change-impacts/southwest#issue1
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Climate Change in the Southwest Observed Climate Changes
University of Arizona
http://www.climas.arizona.edu/sw-climate/climate-change
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Climate Change over the Southwestern U.S. as predicted by Regional Climate Models
American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2011, abstract #GC21A-0861
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2011AGUFMGC21A0861G
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Study predicts permanent drought in Southwest
The National Center for Atmospheric Research
http://www.ucar.edu/communications/staffnotes/0705/drought.shtml
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The sad fact is that higher elevation trees within the Rio Grande National Forest are under attack and dying in massive numbers. These areas will become ripe for major forest fires. And not in some indeterminate future, a ride over Wolf Creek Pass makes that frighteningly clear.
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4.6.1.2.2 Indirect Effects of Development Concepts Bark Beetle
“The potential for a spruce bark beetle infestation, which now impacts 38 acres of the private land parcel, to reach epidemic levels in the near future is high within the Analysis Area due to the severe drought conditions the Rio Grande NF experienced in the early 2000's.
If the beetle epidemic does spread, the elimination of infested trees from the Analysis Area could potentially reduce the rate of spread of the beetles at a stand level. In addition, any spruce tree thinning projects associated with the development concepts may improve stand health to resist further attack.
However, given the scale of spruce beetle outbreak over the entire Rio Grande NF, it is unlikely that the actions associated with Alternative 2 would control the spruce beetle outbreak over large areas adjacent to the Analysis Area, and hence the project's effects on the spruce beetle epidemic are negligible.
Page 4-66
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4.6.1.2.1 Direct Effects of Land Exchange
The land exchange would also result in the transfer of a 38-acre spruce bark beetle outbreak in the southern portion of the private land parcel (USFS, 2011b) to Federal ownership. See Figure 3.6-3.
However, spruce beetles are presently at epidemic levels in lands surrounding the Analysis Area and all mature spruce on the exchange parcels may be infected over the next several years. The Forest Service would hence be responsible for managing the spruce beetle epidemic on the acquired non-Federal parcel."
EIS authors should stop ignoring such contra-indicators?
After all your charge is to protect the interests of the American people first and foremost.
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